House generic ballot polling and the number of seats the presidential party is defending—do a decent job of predicting midterm congressional election results.— This model suggests Democrats would be ...

The Greens will be defending a record four lower house seats at the election. Here are their chances in another five seats ...

If Labor and the Greens gain Senate seats in Queensland and WA, Pocock retains in the ACT, and there are no other changes to ...

A competitive primary is shaping up to be a revealing microcosm of the party’s internal debates after big losses in 2024.